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πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί German wholesale inflation hits 8.7%, and the ECB can see it coming
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The day in view

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί German wholesale inflation hits 8.7%, and the ECB can see it coming

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom October 14, 2026 4 min read
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German wholesale prices rose 1.9% in September against a 0.6% forecast, taking the annual rate to 8.7%, the largest increase since February 2023. Energy costs are spreading into metals, grain and chemicals, and Lagarde says the ECB cannot wait for second-round effects.

Infographic on German inflation at 3.3% with a gas-station photo, CPI and energy stats, dated October 13, 2026.
Energy, not core, pushed German CPI above 3% for the first time in 2026, with heating oil nearly 75% dearer than a year earlier. Source
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Destatis, Germany's federal statistics office, reported Wednesday that wholesale prices rose 1.9% on the month in September, against a 0.6% consensus. The annual rate climbed to 8.7% from 6.8% in August and 5.3% in July, the largest increase since February 2023. Destatis blamed the conflict in Iran and the Middle East, which is feeding through energy and intermediate goods such as metals. Consumer inflation lags. Wholesale is where you see what is still coming.

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Tags
  • tag United States United States
  • tag China China
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  • tag Emerging Markets Emerging Markets
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  • X
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