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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Yields retreated. The inflation pipeline did not.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Yields retreated. The inflation pipeline did not.

Trade services PPI surged a record +2.7% MoM in April while the 10-year Treasury yield fell 24 basis points on ceasefire hopes. Core PCE rose to 3.3% YoY and three FOMC hawks formally dissented, flagging hike optionality the market has not priced.

Table of underlying inflation measures with 12-month growth rates for APR-25 and APR-26, including Core PCE at 3.3%, color-coded by deviation from 2% target.
Atlanta Fed dashboard shows year-over-year underlying PCE measures remain elevated above the FOMC's 2% target despite some near-term slowing after the April release. Source

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