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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK growth beat forecasts, and firms are quietly eating the energy shock
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The week in view

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK growth beat forecasts, and firms are quietly eating the energy shock

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom October 16, 2026 4 min read
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UK GDP rose 0.1% in August against a forecast 0.1% fall, and Bank of England officials credit firms for absorbing energy costs. Flat services, a Β£59.1bn goods deficit and the 28 October Budget make the case for a single November hike less clean.

Line chart of UK real GDP growth vs previous three months: +0.5% for Jun and Jul 2026, rising to +0.7% for Aug 2026.
UK GDP beat a Reuters poll calling for an August contraction, extending an eighth straight three-month expansion as the Bank of England holds Bank Rate at 3.75%. Source
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UK GDP rose 0.1% in August, beating the Reuters poll forecast of βˆ’0.1%, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported. Annual growth hit 2.1%, the fastest since August 2022. Bank of England officials spent the week saying the economy has absorbed the energy shock better than feared. One mechanism explains both: firms are eating higher costs rather than passing them on.

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Tags
  • tag United States United States
  • tag China China
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  • tag Emerging Markets Emerging Markets
Socials
  • X
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