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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK companies are borrowing their way through the energy shock while households retrench
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The day in view

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK companies are borrowing their way through the energy shock while households retrench

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom October 29, 2026 4 min read
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Bank of England data show large UK firms borrowed Β£8.2bn from banks in September, more than double August, while mortgage approvals for house purchase fell to 53,400, the lowest since December 2023. The 5 November rate decision sits between the two.

Line chart of successive OBR PSND-ex-BoE forecasts as % of GDP, 2011-12 to 2031-32, with outturn and a shaded forecast region.
The OBR’s Budget-day debt path stays elevated after a 95% of GDP peak in 2028-29, even as Healey said the stability rule is met with Β£15bn of headroom. Source
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The UK economy is splitting in two, going by the Bank of England's (BoE) Money and Credit release for September, published Thursday. Large companies drew Β£8.2bn from banks in the month, up from Β£3.7bn in August. Net mortgage approvals for house purchase fell to 53,400, the lowest since December 2023 on the unrounded 53,443 figure. That is the backdrop to the 5 November Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decision, and it sits awkwardly with the calm reaction to Wednesday's Budget.

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