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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The Fed is debating a hike into a labor market that's already cracking

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The Fed is debating a hike into a labor market that's already cracking

Private-sector payrolls rose just 38,000 in August, the slowest since January per ADP, as the Fed weighs a rate hike at its September meeting despite a negative July jobs print and crude oil near $90 a barrel.

Line chart of U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index (left axis) versus S&P 500 year-over-year percent change (right axis), monthly from 2011 through 2026.
Isabelnet’s ISM series still shows an eighth month of factory expansion, but the miss versus 55.2 and unchanged prices paid at 71.1 keep a September hike on the table. Source

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