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🇪🇺 The ECB is probably hiking in June. Its own financial stability team just warned the market isn't priced for the shock.
The day in view

🇪🇺 The ECB is probably hiking in June. Its own financial stability team just warned the market isn't priced for the shock.

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom 3 min read

The ECB's May 2026 Financial Stability Review warns of sudden repricing risk as June hike probability hits 80%. With the deposit rate at 2.00% and euro area CPI at 3.0%, the ECB's own planning scenarios are already overtaken by events.

Night view of Earth from space showing Europe with city lights and a glowing network overlay.
ECB Financial Stability Review examines risks to euro area financial conditions from geopolitical tensions and elevated uncertainties. Source

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