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πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί The ECB is hiking into its own recovery as services inflation re-accelerates

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί The ECB is hiking into its own recovery as services inflation re-accelerates

The ECB raised its deposit facility rate to 2.25% as eurozone services inflation jumped to 3.5% year-on-year in May, its sharpest monthly acceleration since 2023. Consumer confidence recovered to βˆ’17.7 in June, but the credit-cycle tailwind is now running into a fresh tightening cycle.

Line chart comparing ECB inflation expectations one-, three-, and five-year ahead for February 2026 (blue) and April 2026 (red).
ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that shorter-term inflation expectations remain elevated compared to levels before the Middle East conflict, while longer-term measures stay near the 2% target. Source

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