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πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί The ECB is about to hike into a sentiment rally, not a hard-data recovery

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί The ECB is about to hike into a sentiment rally, not a hard-data recovery

Germany's industrial production fell 1.1% in July while the Sentix investor confidence index hit a four-year high, a gap the ECB must weigh before Thursday's expected quarter-point hike to 2.50% with inflation running at 3.3%.

Line chart of Destatis German industry production index (2021=100), 2018–2026, with total industry, construction, ex-energy/construction, and energy series.
German factory output has been on a downtrend since 2023, leaving the ECB hiking into a still-soft industrial cycle even as Sentix investor morale jumped to a four-year high. Source

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