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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ The BoE held at 3.75%, but three dissents put a hike back on the table
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The week in view

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ The BoE held at 3.75%, but three dissents put a hike back on the table

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom September 18, 2026 4 min read
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The BoE held at 3.75% on 17 September, but three of nine committee members voted for an immediate hike to 4.00% as UK inflation climbed to 3.1% on energy costs. It also slowed its bond-holdings runoff, stretching QT out to 2034.

Bank of England buildings in London with a foreground lamppost and overlay text on holding interest rates at 3.75%.
The Bank of England held Bank Rate at 3.75% on Thursday as Governor Bailey warned that a prolonged Middle East conflict could yet force policy tighter. Source
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Six consecutive holds. That's the headline out of the Bank of England on 17 September, with Bank Rate parked at 3.75% for a run stretching back to the December 2025 cut. Read in isolation, it looks like inertia. It isn't. The vote split 6-3, with Huw Pill, Megan Greene and Catherine Mann all pushing for an immediate 25-basis-point rise to 4.00%, and that split is the number that matters this week, not the headline rate.

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  • X
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