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♟️ Qeshm strikes break the pre-election calm while the Hormuz talks go nowhere
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The Week in Geopolitics

♟️ Qeshm strikes break the pre-election calm while the Hormuz talks go nowhere

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom November 3, 2026 4 min read
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The pre-midterm lull ended with US strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island, and Hormuz talks through Qatar and Pakistan have stalled. Russia hit Ukraine's grid with 289 drones ahead of US-Russia-Ukraine talks in Abu Dhabi on 10 and 11 November.

Strategic map of Qeshm Island in red in the Strait of Hormuz, with shipping lanes, Bandar Abbas, Iran, UAE, Oman, and a locator inset of Iran.
Qeshm Island sits astride the Strait of Hormuz, where US officials said limited defensive strikes hit IRGC air-defense positions on the eve of the midterms. Source
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On 2 November, the eve of the midterms, the US struck Iran's Qeshm Island. Officials in Washington described it as a limited, defensive reply to Revolutionary Guard fire on a US aircraft. President Donald Trump called it minor and said he was in no rush to widen the war. The Guard said it had shot down US drones. With the vote done, whatever informal hold Trump had on a bigger offensive has lapsed.

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