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🌏 Korea's central bank just raised its surplus forecast 80%, and it might still be too low

🌏 Korea's central bank just raised its surplus forecast 80%, and it might still be too low

South Korea's central bank raised its 2026 surplus forecast 80% mid-year to $450bn after a record $42.08bn July print, as chip exports surge and the won hits a 14-month high. India, Vietnam, the Philippines and Brazil are running different sides of the same dollar and AI-capex cycle.

Line chart of Bank of Korea current account in billion USD from Aug 2025 to Jul 2026, peaking at 49.7 then 42.8.
The Bank of Korea's July balance-of-payments release, as the semiconductor-led surplus streak hits 39 months and the full-year forecast is doubled to $450bn. Source

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