πͺπΊ Italy's BTP spread is near post-Lehman lows even as the ECB hikes. The conventional playbook doesn't hold.
The day in view
πͺπΊ Italy's BTP spread is near post-Lehman lows even as the ECB hikes. The conventional playbook doesn't hold.
Italy's 10-year BTP cleared at 3.63% today with the BTP-Bund spread near 61 basis points, despite an ECB rate hike two weeks ago. The spread playbook that governed prior hiking cycles doesn't apply anymore, and the reasons are structural.