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🌏 India's PMI resilience masks a 45-month input cost spike the RBI is cutting into

🌏 India's PMI resilience masks a 45-month input cost spike the RBI is cutting into

Manufacturing PMI hit a three-month high of 55.0 in May, but India's input costs reached a 45-month high. The RBI is cutting rates into that build, and there is no policy brake on pass-through to consumer prices.

Line chart of Brazil CPI IPCA Median Market Expectation YoY from June 2025 to May 2026 with 2026, 2027, 2028 lines and inflation target upper band.
Brazil's inflation expectations remain unmoored, limiting central bank easing room even after the latest IPC-Fipe acceleration, per VanEck EM strategist. Source

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