Skip to Navigation Skip to Posts Skip to Content
Macro Soup Macro Soup
  • Privacy policy
  • Terms of service
  • Disclaimer
  • Home
  • Latest articles
  • What's new
  • About
  • Contact
  • # Account
  • Sign in
  • FAQ
  • # Sections
  • The day in view
  • The week in view
  • The watchlist
  • The Strategy
  • Industry focus
  • Geopolitics
  • Education
Tags
  • tag United States United States
  • tag China China
  • tag Europe Europe
  • tag United Kingdom United Kingdom
  • tag Emerging Markets Emerging Markets
Socials
  • X
Become a Member
Macro Soup Macro Soup
  • Home
  • Tags
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί France is doing the ECB's tightening as its spread over Bunds hits a 15-year high
  • Home
  • Tags
The week in view

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί France is doing the ECB's tightening as its spread over Bunds hits a 15-year high

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom October 23, 2026 4 min read
  • Share on X
  • Share on Facebook
  • Share on LinkedIn
  • Share on Pinterest
  • Email

France's 10-year yield hit 5.14% and its spread over German Bunds reached 177.7 basis points, the widest since 2011, as the composite PMI fell to 48.4. The squeeze lands days before the ECB's 29 October meeting and a Moody's verdict.

Line chart of France 10Y OAT (orange) versus German 10Y Bund (blue) yields, month-end, January 2024 to 22 October 2026.
AnaΓ―s Howland notes the OAT-Bund 10-year spread closed at 171bp, the widest since 2011, while the two-year gap over Germany jumped from 47bp to 78bp in a week as France's deficit fight spilled into the front end. Source
On this page
Unlock full content

France is doing part of the European Central Bank's tightening for it. The 10-year OAT, France's benchmark government bond, touched 5.14% on Thursday, the highest since July 2002, and the spread over Bunds reached 177.7 basis points, the widest since November 2011, Reuters reported. French five-year credit default swaps (CDS) rose above 100 basis points for the first time since October 2012. A day later the French flash composite PMI came in at 48.4, against a forecast of 50.5 and a previous 51.1. The ECB meets on 29 October.

This post is for paid members

Members get the regional deep-dives, Industry Focus, and Geopolitics. Pro adds The Watchlist and The Strategy. Free gets you the daily roundup and the weekly explainers, no card needed.

See membership plans

Start free with the daily roundup

Already have an account? Sign in

Read next

Featured Post The week in view

πŸ“° Weekly Macro Roundup: 2026-11-07

Nov 6, 2026 3 min read
Paid Post The week in view

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Beijing lowers the funding floor quietly, leans on the yuan and asks firms to buy their own shares

Nov 6, 2026 4 min read

Become a Member

Daily and weekly briefings on global markets, for self-directed investors who want to be informed, not doomscrolled.

Sign up now
Macro Soup Macro Soup

Daily macro and markets briefings for self-directed investors. Global coverage, no doomscrolling.

  • Home
  • Latest articles
  • What's new
  • About
  • Contact
  • # Account
  • Sign in
  • FAQ
  • # Sections
  • The day in view
  • The week in view
  • The watchlist
  • The Strategy
  • Industry focus
  • Geopolitics
  • Education

Β© 2026 Macro Soup - Macro Soup is an independent publisher of financial news and research. The information provided in this website (the "Content") is general, impersonal, and for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute investment, financial, tax, or legal advice, nor a recommendation, offer, or solicitation to buy, sell, or hold any security or investment. Macro Soup has no regard for any recipient's specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs. Investing involves substantial risks, including possible loss of principal, and past performance is not indicative of future results. You should consult your own advisors before making investment decisions and should double check all Content before you rely on it. Please review the full Disclaimer.
  • X
Blog
Featured Post The week in view

πŸ“° Weekly Macro Roundup: 2026-11-07

Nov 6, 2026 3 min read
Paid Post The week in view

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Beijing lowers the funding floor quietly, leans on the yuan and asks firms to buy their own shares

Nov 6, 2026 4 min read
Paid Post The week in view

🌏 Real rates, not fuel bills, decided who could cut in emerging markets this week

Nov 6, 2026 4 min read
Paid Post The week in view

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ The Bank of England hiked into an upgraded economy, and not one MPC member voted to hold

Nov 6, 2026 4 min read
Paid Post The week in view

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Energy is lifting inflation and sinking demand, and the ECB must pick a side in December

Nov 6, 2026 4 min read
Paid Post The week in view

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Payrolls jumped 165,000, and the Fed's case for hiking has stopped depending on wages

Nov 6, 2026 4 min read
Pro tier The Strategy

πŸ“ˆ The Strategy: 2026-11-06

Nov 6, 2026 3 min read
Pro tier The Watchlist

πŸ“‘ The Watchlist: 2026-11-06

Nov 6, 2026 3 min read
Macro Indicators in Focus

πŸ“š What nonfarm labor productivity measures, and how to read unit labor costs

Nov 5, 2026 3 min read
Featured Post The day in view

πŸ“° Daily Macro Roundup: 2026-11-05

Nov 5, 2026 3 min read
Load More You've reached the end of the list
  • Home
  • Latest articles
  • What's new
  • About
  • Contact
  • Sign in
  • FAQ
  • The day in view
  • The week in view
  • The watchlist
  • The Strategy
  • Industry focus
  • Geopolitics
  • Education
  • Privacy policy
  • Terms of service
  • Disclaimer
  • Home
  • Latest articles
  • What's new
  • About
  • Contact
  • # Account
  • Sign in
  • FAQ
  • # Sections
  • The day in view
  • The week in view
  • The watchlist
  • The Strategy
  • Industry focus
  • Geopolitics
  • Education
Tags
  • tag United States United States
  • tag China China
  • tag Europe Europe
  • tag United Kingdom United Kingdom
  • tag Emerging Markets Emerging Markets
Socials
  • X
Featured Post The week in view

πŸ“° Weekly Macro Roundup: 2026-11-07

Nov 6, 2026 3 min read
Paid Post The week in view

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ Beijing lowers the funding floor quietly, leans on the yuan and asks firms to buy their own shares

Nov 6, 2026 4 min read
Paid Post The week in view

🌏 Real rates, not fuel bills, decided who could cut in emerging markets this week

Nov 6, 2026 4 min read
Paid Post The week in view

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ The Bank of England hiked into an upgraded economy, and not one MPC member voted to hold

Nov 6, 2026 4 min read
Paid Post The week in view

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Energy is lifting inflation and sinking demand, and the ECB must pick a side in December

Nov 6, 2026 4 min read
Paid Post The week in view

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Payrolls jumped 165,000, and the Fed's case for hiking has stopped depending on wages

Nov 6, 2026 4 min read
Pro tier The Strategy

πŸ“ˆ The Strategy: 2026-11-06

Nov 6, 2026 3 min read
Pro tier The Watchlist

πŸ“‘ The Watchlist: 2026-11-06

Nov 6, 2026 3 min read
Macro Indicators in Focus

πŸ“š What nonfarm labor productivity measures, and how to read unit labor costs

Nov 5, 2026 3 min read
Featured Post The day in view

πŸ“° Daily Macro Roundup: 2026-11-05

Nov 5, 2026 3 min read
Load More You've reached the end of the list
Become a Member