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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Four dissents, a 4.5% PCE print, and the Fed that Warsh inherits

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Four dissents, a 4.5% PCE print, and the Fed that Warsh inherits

The April FOMC vote split 8-4, the most divided since 1992, as Q1 PCE came in at 4.5% annualized. Warsh inherits a fractured committee, a payrolls beat of +115K, and no labor-market alibi for cuts.

Line chart of Software + IT Equipment Investment in blue and 5 Quarter Moving Average in dark blue from 1959 to 2023, with red box around final spike.
Software and IT investment contributed 134 basis points to the 2.0% Q1 GDP growth, the largest quarterly contribution on record and accounting for two-thirds of the expansion. Source

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