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🌏 EM central banks are fracturing along the current account fault line

🌏 EM central banks are fracturing along the current account fault line

Turkey held at 37% but JPMorgan sees a hike to the 40% corridor ceiling as imminent. Mexico's floor sits at 6.50%, where peso stability has more sway than the domestic cycle. Brazil's near-10% real rate on the Selic stands apart from both.

Financial terminal screenshot with Brazil economic releases table showing May IPCA-15 inflation data and a small COPOM schedule table above.
Brazil’s DI curve prices in a June Selic cut even as May mid-month inflation data came in above consensus, bolstering the case for the central bank to maintain its 14.50% policy rate. Source

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