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πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB's June hike is priced; the May PMIs just complicated the second one

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί ECB's June hike is priced; the May PMIs just complicated the second one

Eurozone Manufacturing PMI printed 51.6 in May, with France back in contraction at 49.7 and input costs at a four-year high. A June ECB hike is 91% priced; the supply-side cost picture makes a second move in September harder to defend.

Line chart of S&P Global Eurozone Manufacturing PMI index from 2016 to 2026 with values fluctuating around 50.
Eurozone manufacturing activity lost momentum in May as new orders stagnated and export demand weakened, even as the PMI held in expansion territory. Source

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