π¨π³ China's reflation signal is real. The recovery it implies isn't.
The week in view
π¨π³ China's reflation signal is real. The recovery it implies isn't.
China's March data looks bullish: PPI turned positive for the first time in 40 months, imports surged 27.8% year-on-year, and FX reserves rebounded $68.4bn. Each signal has a flaw: cost-push inflation, tariff frontloading, and valuation effects masking weak domestic demand.