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πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China beat on growth, and the central bank spent the day preparing for a bond selloff
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The day in view

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China beat on growth, and the central bank spent the day preparing for a bond selloff

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom October 19, 2026 4 min read
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China's third-quarter GDP grew 4.5% year on year, beating a 4.4% forecast. The same day, central bank governor Pan Gongsheng announced plans to make the overnight repo rate the main policy rate and to build a liquidity backstop against a bond selloff.

Line chart of China’s real GDP year-on-year growth from Q1 2023 through Q3 2026, last point near 4.5%.
EY chief economist Gregory Daco flags a widening split as Q3 growth returned to the official target on an export boom while property investment kept collapsing. Source
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China's third-quarter GDP rose 4.5% year on year against a 4.4% forecast (4.3% in Q2), according to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS). Quarterly growth was 1.2% against a 1.1% forecast (0.9% previous). A print that strong normally lets a central bank stay quiet. People's Bank of China (PBOC) Governor Pan Gongsheng did the opposite. At the same day's Financial Street Forum he announced plans for a rebuilt policy rate, a backstop for a bond selloff and wider access to emergency liquidity.

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