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BoE's 8-1 Hold Masks a 2.6-Point Inflation Uncertainty Range That Tests State-Contingent Policy

BoE's 8-1 Hold Masks a 2.6-Point Inflation Uncertainty Range That Tests State-Contingent Policy

BoE held Bank Rate at 3.75% in an 8-1 vote, with Chief Economist Huw Pill dissenting for a hike. The April MPR projects CPI peaking between 3.6% and 6.2%, a 2.6-point range reflecting uncertainty over Middle East energy pass-through.

Bank of England key chart from April 2026 Monetary Policy Report showing inflation scenarios
Visualizes the BoE's inflation projections and policy scenarios in response to energy price shocks, central to the week's MPC decision. Source

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