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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ April payrolls beat the street, but a record-low Michigan Sentiment reading is the number the Fed can't ignore

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ April payrolls beat the street, but a record-low Michigan Sentiment reading is the number the Fed can't ignore

April payrolls printed at 115K against a 65K consensus, but University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment hit an all-time low of 49.8 and 1-year inflation expectations jumped 90bps to 4.7%. The Fed has nowhere clean to move.

Line chart titled 'US Labor Market Barometers' plotting blue line for nonfarm payroll employment M-M change and orange line for unemployment rate from Oct 2023 to Apr 2026.
April nonfarm payrolls added 115,000 jobs with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent, giving Federal Reserve officials greater flexibility to monitor inflation as wage growth moderates. Source

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