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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ A Fed with no reaction function heads into September's meeting

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ A Fed with no reaction function heads into September's meeting

Payrolls jumped to 162,000 in August just as ISM services and manufacturing price gauges hit their highest levels since 2022. Fed governors are now publicly split over a September move, with hike odds swinging from 35% to 61% in a week.

Polymarket line chart titled Fed Rate Hike In September? showing 53% chance, with odds from Aug 29 to Sep 4 ending near 53%.
The Kobeissi Letter says markets swung to a 53% chance of a September 16 hike after payrolls nearly tripled forecasts and erased the July contraction scare. Source

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