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UK growth tops the G7, but the Bank's own risk committee isn't celebrating
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The day in view

UK growth tops the G7, but the Bank's own risk committee isn't celebrating

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom September 30, 2026 4 min read
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UK Q2 GDP was revised up to 0.5% quarter-on-quarter, the strongest first-half pace in the G7, but the Bank of England's Financial Policy Committee flagged gilt yields at 2008-era levels and roughly $450bn in global AI-related debt issuance as rising systemic risks.

Grouped bar chart of UK real GDP q/q growth from Q1 2025 to Q2 2026, comparing September 2026 national accounts with August first estimates.
ONS revisions leave the UK among the G7's strongest H1 2026 performers even after the Iran-war energy shock, with Q2 now 0.5% q/q. Source
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The UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) revised second-quarter GDP up to 0.5% quarter-on-quarter on Wednesday, from an initial 0.4% estimate and above the 0.4% consensus. Year-on-year growth came in at 1.4% against 1.2% expected, and with Q1 unrevised at 0.6%, the UK now holds the strongest first-half growth pace in the G7. It's a rare compliment for an economy that spent most of the post-Brexit, post-mini-budget years as the group's laggard.

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