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πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Mann calls UK inflation embedded, but there's no wage spiral behind it
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The day in view

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Mann calls UK inflation embedded, but there's no wage spiral behind it

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom October 6, 2026 3 min read
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Bank of England (BoE) rate-setter Catherine Mann calls UK inflation "embedded" as headline inflation heads toward 4%, but a 24-month services-employment contraction suggests the driver is energy costs and margin repair, not a wage-price spiral, ahead of the 5 November rate decision.

Line chart of S&P Global UK Construction PMI Total Activity, 2016–2026, with a 2020 plunge and readings below 50 through 2025–26.
UK construction PMI stayed in contraction even as September’s rebound beat consensus, as Mann warns inflation is embedded ahead of November. Source
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Catherine Mann gave the Bank of England's (BoE) hawk wing its sharpest line of the autumn on Tuesday. Inflation, she told a TS Lombard Capital Markets Summit fireside chat, has become "embedded" after running above the 2% target for the entirety of her time on the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). She flagged headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) heading toward 4% around the turn of the year, landing squarely inside the window when UK employers set annual pay deals.

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