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🌏 Korea's factory slump and Brazil's jobs beat are both too messy to take at face value
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The day in view

🌏 Korea's factory slump and Brazil's jobs beat are both too messy to take at face value

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom September 30, 2026 4 min read
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South Korea's industrial output fell 4.8% in August, the steepest monthly drop since 2008, while Brazil's formal jobs data beat forecasts by nearly triple ahead of the October 4 election. Both prints owe more to one-off timing quirks than any real shift in trend.

Bar chart of South Korea industrial production MoM % from Sep through Aug, with a large negative August bar near -5%.
South Korea’s August factory print missed a 0.5% consensus rise and, on this series, marked the sharpest monthly contraction since May 2020 as autos and domestic demand led the drag. Source
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Two of the most closely watched emerging-market prints this week look clean on the surface and murky underneath. South Korea just posted its worst industrial output drop since the 2008 crisis, while Brazil delivered a jobs number that blew past every forecast. Take either one at face value and you'll get the story wrong.

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  • tag China China
  • tag Europe Europe
  • tag United Kingdom United Kingdom
  • tag Emerging Markets Emerging Markets
Socials
  • X
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