Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee told an audience at OMFIF (Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum) in London on Monday that the Federal Reserve is done "looking through" supply shocks from energy, tariffs, and geopolitics. Restoring 2% inflation, he said, now requires narrowing the supply-demand gap with higher rates, and the trade-off with employment "would necessarily be painful." Within hours, oil posted one of its sharpest one-day drops of the cycle on hopes for U.S.-Iran diplomacy, undercutting the exact premise he had just used to justify more tightening.
πΊπΈ Goolsbee's case for a fourth hike ran into a same-day oil crash
The day in view
πΊπΈ Goolsbee's case for a fourth hike ran into a same-day oil crash
Chicago Fed's Austan Goolsbee argued the Fed must hike through energy and tariff shocks now, not look past them. Hours later, US-Iran diplomacy hopes drove one of the cycle's sharpest single-day oil drops, cutting West Texas Intermediate crude 4.5%.
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