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πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Germany's next inflation shock already has a calendar date
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The day in view

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Germany's next inflation shock already has a calendar date

Macro Soup Newsroom Macro Soup Newsroom September 21, 2026 4 min read
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The Bundesbank says 2027 healthcare reforms will add nearly half a percentage point to inflation, stacking a calendar-certain shock on top of today's energy-driven readings: 2.9% in Germany, 3.2% across the euro area.

Coin Bureau tweet on ECB Pontes launch with a press-conference photo of four speakers at green podiums, including Christine Lagarde.
ECB President Christine Lagarde marked the Eurosystem going live with Pontes, the bridge for settling wholesale tokenised assets in central bank money. Source
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The Bundesbank's September monthly report did something the past few weeks of Iran-linked energy headlines hadn't managed: it put a number and a start date on the inflation problem that follows this one. German Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) inflation ran at 2.9% in August, up from 2.8% in July, and Frankfurt expects it to "remain elevated for the time being." The immediate cause is familiar: fuel and refined oil product prices tied to the Iran conflict, thin gas inventories, and the risk that energy costs bleed into the rest of the basket.

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