> ## Content Index > Fetch the complete content index at: https://macrosoup.com/llms.txt > Use this file to discover other available public pages before exploring further. # πŸ“° Daily Macro Roundup: 2026-09-15 - URL: https://macrosoup.com/daily-macro-roundup-2026-09-15/ - Published: 2026-09-15T14:20:04.000Z - Updated: 2026-09-15T14:20:04.000Z - Author: Macro Soup Newsroom - Tags: The day in view, The Roundup Good morning, macro enthusiasts. Here's your daily roundup covering the United States, Europe, and key emerging markets. We cut through the noise to deliver the essential facts, key surprises, and meaningful context from each region in one place. ## πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The Fed is about to hike, but the dot plot decides if it stops there The Fed is expected to raise rates 25 basis points on September 16 to 3.75-4.00%, its first hike in three years, after hot August CPI and PPI prints. The dot plot and Chair Warsh's press conference decide whether it stops there. [πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The Fed is about to hike, but the dot plot decides if it stops thereThe Fed is expected to raise rates 25 basis points on September 16 to 3.75-4.00%, its first hike in three years, after hot August CPI and PPI prints. The dot plot and Chair Warsh's press conference decide whether it stops there.Macro Soup![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HSG0FFXXkAwlyBo.jpg)](https://macrosoup.com/the-fed-is-about-to-hike-but-the-dot-plot-decides-if-it-stops-there/) ## πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Europe's data beat forecasts this week, its mood did not ECB board member Isabel Schnabel called energy prices "quite concerning" as Germany's investor sentiment survey split: current conditions jumped to βˆ’47.1, beating forecasts, the forward-looking gauge fell, and 10-year German bond yields climbed near 3.55%, the highest in over a decade. [πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Europe's data beat forecasts this week, its mood did notECB board member Isabel Schnabel called energy prices "quite concerning" as Germany's investor sentiment survey split: current conditions jumped to βˆ’47.1, beating forecasts, the forward-looking gauge fell, and 10-year German bond yields climbed near 3.55%, the highest in over a decade.Macro Soup![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HQphFHKWUAA3Jqf.jpg)](https://macrosoup.com/europes-data-beat-forecasts-this-week-its-mood-did-not/) ## πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK jobs data just told the Bank of England two contradictory stories UK's August Claimant Count surged 27.8k, far above the 8.3k forecast, while the Labour Force Survey unemployment rate held steady at 4.9%. That leaves the Bank of England reading two contradictory signals days before Thursday's rate call and Wednesday's CPI print. [πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ UK jobs data just told the Bank of England two contradictory storiesUK's August Claimant Count surged 27.8k, far above the 8.3k forecast, while the Labour Force Survey unemployment rate held steady at 4.9%. That leaves the Bank of England reading two contradictory signals days before Thursday's rate call and Wednesday's CPI print.Macro Soup![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HSPNGUfWMAA5Hgz.jpg)](https://macrosoup.com/uk-jobs-data-just-told-the-bank-of-england-two-contradictory-stories/) ## 🌏 Copom cuts as the Fed hikes, and emerging markets stop moving as one Brazil's central bank cuts its Selic rate to 13.75% the same day the Fed is expected to hike, while India's central bank quietly tightens through bond sales even as its trade deficit narrows to $26.86bn. Emerging markets are no longer moving together. [🌏 Copom cuts as the Fed hikes, and emerging markets stop moving as oneBrazil's central bank cuts its Selic rate to 13.75% the same day the Fed is expected to hike, while India's central bank quietly tightens through bond sales even as its trade deficit narrows to $26.86bn. Emerging markets are no longer moving together.Macro Soup![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HSQkrYIbYAACEjh.jpg)](https://macrosoup.com/copom-cuts-as-the-fed-hikes-and-emerging-markets-stop-moving-as-one/) ## πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China's industrial boom is leaving workers behind China's industrial output beat forecasts in August, but retail sales slowed and new bank lending collapsed to just Β₯60bn. Automation-heavy factory growth isn't translating into jobs or household spending. [πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China's industrial boom is leaving workers behindChina's industrial output beat forecasts in August, but retail sales slowed and new bank lending collapsed to just Β₯60bn. Automation-heavy factory growth isn't translating into jobs or household spending.Macro Soup![](https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HSPLpMaaUAADm3q.jpg)](https://macrosoup.com/chinas-industrial-boom-is-leaving-workers-behind/) That's your daily macro roundup. For more detailed regional deep dives, check out our weekly editions. If you found this useful, feel free to forward it along. More signal, less noise, as ever. Cheers.